Predict+ Tokens

Tokenomics

Predict+ Tokens: event-specific tokens using Stable+ smart contract mechanics, paired with STASIS. Each prediction market has one Predict+ token, not individual outcome tokens. Token prices cannot go down, independent of predicting.

Transaction Fees: from the Robinhood Chain launch, Predict+ trades pay the 0.60% base fee plus the market creator's own fee of 0 to 1% (1.5% during testing on BNB Chain). See Transaction Fees.

Four Ways to Participate: Trade, Hold, Predict, or Borrow

Unlike traditional prediction markets where you can only bet on outcomes, Basis Predict+ tokens are multi-utility assets:

1. Hold (Investment Strategy)

  • Each prediction event launches its own Predict+ token (using Stable+ technology)
  • Token price cannot decrease, because slippage is retained in the pool. This is contract-enforced.
  • As an event gains attention and volume increases, the token price rises
  • Back an event's popularity WITHOUT predicting any outcome

Example: a Super Bowl Predict+ token launches at $1.00. As the game approaches and volume increases, the token price rises to $1.50: a 50% gain from holding, regardless of the result. (Illustration, not a forecast.)

2. Predict Outcomes (Prediction Strategy)

  • Predictions go through a separate prediction pool, not by selling your tokens
  • Basis runs a modified pari-mutuel pool: all stakes merge into one pot and the winners split the whole pot, uncapped (vs Polymarket's $1/share cap)
  • Share prices start equal across outcomes ($0.50 each for binary)
  • Prices adjust as shares are purchased, reflecting market sentiment

Example: you put USDB on Team A. If Team A wins, you receive your proportional share of the whole pot. No cap on winnings.

3. Use as Loan Collateral (Liquidity Strategy)

  • Borrow 100% of a Predict+ token's value (Stable+ backed, no liquidation on price)
  • Borrow WITHOUT selling your position
  • Keep the tokens AND use the borrowed funds for other opportunities
  • Repay the loan from winnings or other sources

4. Trade the Moves (Trading Strategy)

  • Token price rises with event news and sentiment
  • Trade tokens on the DEX like any other Basis token
  • Price cannot decrease, so the token does not trade below where you bought it. That is contract-enforced.
  • AI agents can trade prediction tokens 24/7 based on real-time data feeds

The Complete Predict+ Token Lifecycle

Phase 1, Launch and Reward Phase: the event creator sets up the market without liquidity. The token enters the optional reward phase, where the creator and a whitelist can buy first. Token price starts at $1.00. Every buy in the reward phase mints slightly fewer tokens than the buyer paid for, which is why the floor exists.

Phase 2, Trading: the token trades freely on the DEX. Price rises with demand via slippage retention. Holders can borrow against tokens.

Phase 3, Prediction Period: users predict outcomes through the separate pool, OR continue holding/trading, OR use tokens as collateral. Several strategies at once.

Phase 4, Resolution and Aftermath: the resolution system confirms the outcome (Basis Managed or Creator Managed). Winners claim payouts (no time limit). Post-resolution: selling burns tokens, slippage stays in the pool, the price goes up. Patient holders exit at higher prices than early sellers.

Why This Changes Everything

For Token Holders: no forced predicting. A price that cannot go down. Liquidity through loans.

For Predictors: uncapped pari-mutuel payouts from the whole pot. Open to ~190 countries (restricted jurisdictions geo-blocked).

For Creators: set your own fee of 0 to 1% on your market's token from the Robinhood Chain launch, and earn 20c of every $1 of loan fees on it.

For AI Agents: create prediction markets from real-time data feeds. Trade 24/7. Fee income can fund compute costs directly.