Predict+ Tokens

Tokenomics

Predict+ Tokens: Event-specific tokens utilizing Stable+ smart contract mechanics, paired with STASIS. Each prediction market has one Predict+ token — not individual outcome tokens. Tokens maintain an up-only price floor, ensuring low-risk participation independent of betting.

Transaction Fees: A 1.5% fee on Predict+ trades, and all of it flows through the standard fee waterfall. There is no carve-out, no winning-pot recycling and no bounty pool.

Fee payouts are made in USDB, and the split has two columns because it changes at TGE. Today: company 60 (of which 12 treasury and 48 that transfers at TGE) · creator 20 · STASIS vault 16 · reward phase holders 4. At TGE: BASIS staking contract 48 · creator 20 · STASIS vault 16 · treasury 12 · reward phase holders 4. At TGE, 48% of fees - four fifths of the company's current 60% - route to the BASIS staking contract. The BASIS staking share can never fall below 30%, and every fee setter is capped at 200bps; both are hard contract limits.

Reward Shares: Reward phase participants earn proportional shares in transaction fees from token trading, for the life of the token. The share is lost the moment the token leaves your hands, and it is not transferable.

Four Ways to Participate: Trade, Hold, Bet, or Borrow

Unlike traditional prediction markets where you can only bet on outcomes, Basis Predict+ tokens are multi-utility assets:

1. Hold for Price Appreciation (Investment Strategy)

  • Each prediction event launches its own Predict+ token (using Stable+ technology)
  • Token price cannot decrease, because slippage is retained in the pool. This is a contract property, not a guarantee of outcome.
  • As event gains attention and volume increases, token price rises
  • Profit from popularity WITHOUT betting on any outcome

Example: Super Bowl Predict+ token launches at $1.00. As game approaches and volume increases, token price rises to $1.50. You profit 50% just from holding, regardless of game outcome.

2. Bet on Outcomes (Prediction Strategy)

  • Betting happens through a separate USDC pool — not by selling your tokens
  • Basis runs pari-mutuel: winners split the entire losing pool, uncapped (vs Polymarket's $1/share cap)
  • Share prices start equal across outcomes ($0.50 each for binary)
  • Prices adjust as shares are purchased, reflecting market sentiment

Example: You bet USDC on Team A. If Team A wins, you receive your proportional share of the entire losing pool. No cap on winnings.

3. Use as Loan Collateral (Liquidity Strategy)

  • Predict+ tokens qualify for 100% LTV loans (Stable+ backed, no price liquidation)
  • Take USDC loans WITHOUT selling your position
  • Keep tokens for appreciation AND use USDC for other opportunities
  • Repay loan from winnings or other sources

4. Trade the Volatility (Trading Strategy)

  • Token price increases based on event news and sentiment
  • Trade tokens on DEX like any other Basis token
  • Price cannot decrease, so the token does not trade below where you bought it. That is a contract property, not a guarantee of outcome.
  • AI agents can trade prediction tokens 24/7 based on real-time data feeds

The Complete Predict+ Token Lifecycle

Phase 1 — Launch and Reward Phase: Event creator pays zero fees to set up the market, and launching requires no liquidity. Token enters the optional reward phase. Early buyers earn reward shares that run for the life of the token. Token price starts at $1.00. Note that every buy in the reward phase mints slightly fewer tokens than the buyer paid for, which is why the floor exists.

Phase 2 — Trading and Appreciation: Token trades freely on DEX. Price appreciates with demand via slippage retention. Holders can take loans against tokens. Trading fees generate revenue for ecosystem.

Phase 3 — Betting Period: Users bet USDC on outcomes through the separate pool. OR continue holding/trading. OR use as collateral for loans. Multiple strategies available simultaneously.

Phase 4 — Resolution and Aftermath: Resolution system confirms outcome (Basis Managed or Creator Managed). Winners claim USDC payouts (no time limit). Post-resolution: selling burns tokens, slippage stays in the pool, price goes UP. Patient holders exit at higher prices than early sellers.

Why This Changes Everything

For Token Holders: No forced betting. Protected downside. Liquidity through loans.

For Bettors: Uncapped pari-mutuel payouts. Fair odds via AMM. Open to ~190 countries (restricted jurisdictions geo-blocked).

For Creators: Zero-cost event creation. 20% of fees, in USDB, for the life of the token. An annuity, not a launch fee.

For AI Agents: Create prediction markets from real-time data feeds. Trade 24/7. Earn USDB fee revenue that funds compute costs directly.