BASIS

Prediction Marketplace

Introducing Predict+

Predict+ combines event-based markets with investment-grade assets. Unlike traditional binary platforms, Predict+ creates a comprehensive prediction economy.

Critical distinction: Each prediction market has one Predict+ token — not individual outcomes. Buying the token is separate from betting on outcomes. Token trades on DEX; betting through a separate USDC pool.

The Problem with Traditional Prediction Markets

Conventional platforms cap payouts at $1 per share. On Basis, winners split the entire losing pool — uncapped. Centralized platforms face regulatory risk and geographic restrictions. Basis is decentralized.

The Predict+ Solution: One Token Per Market

Four Ways to Participate

  1. Hold for appreciation: Token only goes up (Stable+ mechanics) — invest in event popularity without gambling
  2. Trade on DEX: Capture volatility from news and sentiment
  3. Use as collateral: 100% LTV loans against your Predict+ tokens
  4. Bet on outcomes: USDC payouts through separate betting pool — uncapped

Post-Resolution Selling Dynamic

After resolution, selling burns tokens > fees inject into liquidity > price goes UP. Patient holders exit at higher prices than early sellers.

Event Creation

Step 1: Event name, symbol, icon, description, optional end date, 2+ mutually exclusive answers.

Step 2: Bonding phase target ($0-$150,000), Resolution Style (Basis Managed or Creator Managed), Event Type (Public or Private).

Seed amount (creating a market): Basis Managed: minimum 50 USDB. Creator Managed (public): minimum 10 USDB. Creator Managed (private): minimum 0. Creators earn 20% of all trading fees in perpetuity.

Betting Mechanics

  • Share prices start at equal split ($0.50 each for binary, $0.33 for three-way)
  • As shares are purchased, price/probability adjusts
  • Payout = (Your Winning Shares / Total Winning Shares) x Total Prize Pool
  • Uncapped payouts: Predict+ shares are NOT capped at $1 — a 5c share can pay $4+ on resolution depending on the size of the losing pool
  • Exit before resolution via the order book

The Trader-to-Bettor Pot

Trading fees flow into a bounty pot paid to winning outcome. More token traders = bigger pot = more bettors = more excitement. Symbiotic loop.

Resolution

Basis Managed: Community proposes > 2-hour dispute window > BASIS staker governance arbitration if disputed. Invalid markets trigger full refunds.

Creator Managed: Creator or up to 10 voter wallets decide by majority. Final — no dispute process. "Invalid" option available.

Discussion Tab

Wallet-signed comments. Requires 1 trade > $5 on that market (anti-spam). Creator badge shown.

Revenue Model

Trading fee: 1.5% gross (1% recycled to prediction ecosystem — 0.95% winning pot + 0.05% bounty pool — and 0.5% net platform). Net platform fee distribution: Creator 20% (perpetual) > Staking 16% > Reward-phase buyers 4% > Treasury 60%.

Competitive Advantage

Uncapped payouts vs $1/share cap | No geographic restrictions | Token investment separate from betting | MEV-resistant | Stable+ backing on every prediction token

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